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Good post from FT Beyond BRICS on the Pacific Alliance

Guest post: the Pacific Alliance and why it matters

High quality global journalism requires investment. FT has asked this article be accessed from their website.  Click here to read the complete article

By Jorge Rosenblut of Endesa Chile

In January I had the honor to attend a summit of the European Union and the Community of Latin-American and Caribbean Nations in Santiago, Chile. As with many such meetings, the 45 heads of state and prime ministers captured the attention of the international media. But what went almost unnoticed was a seismic shift in Latin American integration — a group of four countries that stood together in what promises to be a historic breakthrough for the region.

After meandering for centuries looking for a raison d’être, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru are forging a 21st century path to the first world. Though these four nations are competitors in many aspects (in exports, foreign investment, talent mobility, etc), their plan for economic integration under the Pacific Alliance heralds a new kind of economic partnership in Latin America: pragmatic not political, forward-looking not historical.

Click here to read the complete article direct from the Financial Times

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CSA Analysis – Latin America – China in focus

[Img] : Courtesy of WikiCommons

As the spread of article excerpts below will exhibit, the China – Latin America relationship and its future will be more than simple a complementary exchange of Latin American natural resources for Chinese manufactured goods. Although, as the 4th article indicates below, from China’s State Media Giant Xinhua explains, the corner stone of Sino-Latin American relations still remain within the realm of the “complementary exchange,” the two regions offer one another.  However, as CSA attempts to exhibit in this piece, the growth of Sino-Latin American ties also includes:

1/ Cheap Chinese Loans (especially to countries cut off from borrowing  raising money on international markets), which represent new sources in which Latin American countries can borrow money and raise money instead of traditional means they have been forced to reply upon since independence – Loans from European and US Banks, issuing bonds, shares in companies on international stock markets, and other financial market market vehicles where international investors allocate their money in Latin America.

2/ Beyond new markets for China’s manufactured goods, China has began to aggressively expanded into Latin America’s service sectors — Banking, Telecommunications, Logistics, and more.

3/ Defense… A rather sensitive and misunderstood area of cooperation because both China and their counter-parts in Latin America do not go into great detail to explaining very clearly what their ultimate goals for enhancing military cooperation may be.  As the author of this blog who has followed this topic for many years, I am personally of the opinion that is it all about following the money trail. An actual military alliance or very close military ties with a specific country in Latin America would be very difficult for me to imagine.  The US, various countries within Latin America, others and around the world would have serious reasons to prevent such from every being reality. Not to mention, US Presidents throughout history have periodically used the proclamation of the policy outlined in the Monroe Doctrine, signed into being US President Monroe on December 2, 1823 to justify intervention in the hemisphere.

The Monroe Doctrine in short, is a statement made to the world that further efforts by other nation states to colonize land or interfere with independent states in North or South America would be viewed as acts of aggression, requiring U.S. intervention if deemed necessary. 

U.S. presidents, including Theodore Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon B. Johnson, Ronald Reagan have all fallen back on this proclamation to justify action in one form or another.  I don’t doubt for a second that if China’s expansion in the region, militarily speaking reached a tipping point where the a present day US President would find a means in which to justify intervention.  Perhaps again falling back on the policy outlines by the Monroe Doctrine, and adapted within context of current, present day geopolitics of the world.

Instead, as I mentioned above it’s about the money. The US, Europe, The UK, Russia, and now even Japan (which recently passed legislation allowing it to participate in the ever more lucrative market or arms trade), is where China’s primary interest lies. Just like China wants markets for its manufactured goods and services, there is also a great deal of money to made in selling the arms markets of the world, especially when you consider a region which has oddly enough in recent years began to increase military spending (see this article for more information regarding Latin America’s increase in Military Spending.

 

China Grabs Share in Latin America Wind With Cheap Loans

[Source] : BusinessWeek

By Stephan Nielsen on November 20, 2012

Chinese wind-turbine makers have broken into the South American market, the world’s fastest- growing, by offering government-backed loans at interest rates as much as 50 percent lower than local offerings.

The package deals can get buyers to choose Chinese machines over those of Western manufacturers such as Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS) of Denmark or General Electric Co., much in the way the U.S. government helps American exporters sell everything from cotton to satellites by guaranteeing loans or insurance.

Chinese Loan

Geassa, short for Generadora Eolica Argentina del Sur SA, is seeking a 12-year loan with a two-year grace period and an annual interest rate of 6 percent above Libor, the London interbank offered rate. The financing may be complete by June, he said. The company will use Chinese turbines and hasn’t selected a supplier.

Click here to read the complete article

 

Correlation Breakdown as Asia, Latin America Diverge: Currencies

[Source] : BusinessWeek

By Ye Xie on November 20, 2012

Asian currencies that once moved in lockstep with their Latin American peers are diverging by the most ever as China attracts investors to the region without boosting commodities, the main exports for Brazil and Chile.

The four-week correlation between the currencies of the two regions reached minus 1 last month, meaning they always move in the opposite direction, according to index data compiled by Bloomberg and JPMorgan Chase & Co. As recently as May, the correlation was plus 1 as the indexes moved in tandem. The Chinese yuan has climbed to 19-year highs amid gains in retail sales and the South Korean won reached the strongest since 2011, while Brazil’s real and the pesos in Mexico, Chile and Colombia weakened over the past two months.

“Usually when people buy China, it boosts currencies in both Latin America and Asia,” Dirk Willer, the head of Latin American local-markets strategy at Citigroup Inc. in New York, said by phone. “But this time around, given that the commodity link isn’t working, people get bought up on Asia but not on Latin America. There’s a long-term structural story.”

Click here to read the complete article

 

China Construction Bank Still Looking to Expand Into Latin America

[Source] : The Wall Street Journal

By Ryan Dube November 21, 2012, 1:37 p.m. ET

LIMA, Peru–State-run China Construction Bank Corp. (CICHY, 0939.HK, 601939.SH) is still looking to expand to Latin America and could announce plans to open an office in the region “quite soon,” a company executive said.

China’s second-biggest bank by assets is looking at acquisition targets and expansion opportunities throughout the region but especially in Brazil, said John Weinshank, head of corporate banking and trade finance at China Construction Bank’s U.S. branch.

Chinese companies are investing heavily in Latin America as they look to develop natural resources needed to fuel the Asian country’s rapid growth. One of the biggest Chinese investments in the region was the $7.1 billion deal by state-owned China Petrochemical Corp., or Sinopec, to purchase a 40% stake in Repsol YPF SA’s (REP.MC, REPYY) Brazilian unit.

In Peru, one of the world’s top mineral producers, Chinese companies are developing several copper and iron-ore projects. Together, these projects will require investments of about $11.4 billion, according to figures from Peru’s Mines and Energy Ministry. Chinese-owned projects represent about 20% of the total pipeline of investment projects in Peru’s mining sector.

“The bank is very keen to expand into the region and set up a foothold,” Mr. Weinshank said in an interview during the Latin American Banking Federation’s annual conference in Lima, which ended Tuesday. “Our customers are here and are doing business, so we have to follow our customers.”

Click here to read the complete article

 

Economies of China, Latin America complementary: bank official

[Source] : Xinhua / China People’s Daily

LIMA, Nov. 20 (Xinhua) — The economies of China and Latin American countries are highly complementary, and bilateral trade has enjoyed rapid growth, a Chinese bank official told the 46th Annual Meeting of the Latin American Federation of Banks here on Tuesday.

The expansion of China’s domestic demand has been a driving force of Latin American economies, Ma Suhong, deputy division chief of Urban Finance Research Institute at the Industrial and Commercial bank of China said on the last day of the two-day event.

Ma noted that China invested a total of 12 billion U.S. dollars in Latin America in 2011. She attributed the fast development of China-Latin America cooperation partly to China’s large domestic need and economic woes suffered by the United States and European countries.

Click here to read the complete article

 

Chinese defense minister meets with Latin American guests

[Source] : Xinhua / China People’s Daily

BEIJING, Nov. 20 (Xinhua) — Defense Minister Liang Guanglie met with delegates to the 1st China-Latin America high-level defense forum on Tuesday.

Liang hailed the increasingly close relations between China and Latin American countries in recent years, noting that the two sides have enjoyed frequent high-level visits, deepening political mutual trust, strengthening communication and cooperation, as well as effective coordination on major international affairs.

He said the forum shows that China attaches great importance to developing military relations with Latin American countries.

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Peru and NE Asia related headlines from the past 2 days

Humala finaliza gira en Asia y viene de vuelta a Perú de La Republica

Viaje lo llevó a Japón y Corea del Sur.

El presidente de la República, Ollanta Humala, concluyó hoy su gira oficial por el continente asiático y se encuentra viajando de retorno a Perú.

El jefe de Estado y su comitiva despegaron en el avión presidencial peruano hoy desde Yeosu (Corea del Sur), confirmó a la agencia, la delegación de Perú en la Expo 2012.

Allí, el mandatario inauguró a primera hora el pabellón peruano, que definió como “un espacio de reflexión y de respeto al mar y al agua en general” en sintonía con el tema central de la Expo, que es la conservación global de los océanos y los recursos marinos.

Durante los cinco días de su gira, la primera que realiza por Asia desde su nombramiento, Humala ha mantenido reuniones con el presidente surcoreano, Lee Myung-bak, y con el primer ministro nipón Yoshihiko Noda, en los que se ha reforzado la cooperación mutua en varias materias.

García Belaunde: “El futuro del Perú pasa por el Asia Pacífico” de El Comercio

El ex canciller sostuvo que apostar por mercados como Japón y Corea del Sur es clave ante la crisis económica europea

El futuro del Perú y del mundo pasa hoy por la zona Asia Pacífico, y el Gobierno hace bien en profundizar su presencia en esa importante área económica para buscar nuevos mercados y mayores inversiones, opinó hoy el excanciller José Antonio García Belaunde.

En un contexto de crisis internacional que afecta a la zona europea, sostuvo apostar por importantes mercados asiáticos como Japón y Corea del Sur es clave para asegurar la continuidad del crecimiento económico del país.

Perú y Corea pueden ser el puente que una Latinoamérica y Asia de Andina.com

Seúl, may. 11 (ANDINA). Perú y Corea del Sur pueden convertirse en el puente que una a Latinoamérica y Asia, mediante el establecimiento de rutas aerocomerciales de carga y de pasajeros entre Lima y Seúl, estimó hoy el presidente Ollanta Humala.

Señaló que promover esa ruta ha sido uno de los objetivos de su visita de Estado a Seúl.

“Dentro de mi preocupación, como gobierno, está promover, invitar y conversar con empresas coreanas para cubrir una línea comercial de transporte de pasajeros y de carga, que permita crear ese puente que debe haber entre Asia y Latinoamérica, a través de Perú y de Corea”, declaró a periodistas.

Ese sería un negocio rentable, añadió durante su exposición ante empresarios coreanos sobre el potencial de inversiones que existe en Perú.

Está previsto actualmente el ingreso de la aerolínea Korean Air a Perú, inicialmente por carga, y su eventual ampliación al transporte de pasajeros incrementará el flujo turístico al país andino, según la Cámara Nacional de Turismo (Canatur).

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ASEAN region works. Asian Nations to double crisis fund to $240 billion

ASEAN (The Association of Southeast Asian Nations) countries and their major trading partners China, Japan and South Korea agreed Thursday to double a regional financial crisis fund to $240 billion.

Incredible.

A region of the world full of small and large countries with unique and distinct cultures & systems of governance were able to come together as a “region,” and negotiate with economic & political powers such as China, Japan and South Korea… AND COME TO AN AGREEMENT. .

Part of this petition to is get people to realize the Americas (from Canada down to Argentina), should be more than capable of creating the foundations of acting together as a region, and spreading prosperity from our plentiful lands and resources.

Sign this petition, because you can’t leave a country like Cuba out of dialogue & exchange in the Americas for archaic reasons dating to the cold war. It’s not fair when we see success elsewhere in ASEAN between countries of very mixed backgrounds…

Click here to more about this development from CNBC

 

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The 21st century’s most important trade network – The Asia-Pacific triangle

Having followed, written about and participated in the growth of China – Latin America’s exchange over the past 10 years, I must say it is refreshing to see the increasing awareness around the globe of the growth of Asia-Pacific cooperation.  Every week news media around the world publish news and analysis pertaining not only to China – Latin America, but increasingly about the geopolitical triangle of the greater Asia-Pacific region.

Aljazeera added to the wealth today by publishing the transcript of a interview they conducted with former Peruvian Ambassador to China, and current Ambassador to the US - Harold Forsyth.  In the interview Aljazeera reporter Eddie Walshe discusses with Ambassador Forsyth his perspective on the growing importance of Asia-Pacific cooperation and more particularly, how Peru fits into the Asia-Pacific triangle of the Greater Asia region (with a special emphasis on China), North America and South America.

As someone who personally believes the growth of trade and exchange between nations of the Asia Pacific and the Americas (North & South) will be the most important network of exchange this century, I highly recommend giving it a read.

Click here to access Peru’s place in the triangle of Asia-Pacific security, published by Aljazeera

What people around the world define as the Asia-Pacific region varies widely, for your author (me) I consider it to include all nations, cultures and territories on both sides of the Pacific Ocean.  This means “Oceania,” despite being a region in itself must naturally be included.  It also tends to include India, because although India is usually not considered a “Pacific” nation, it is a major geopolitical power in this equation.

Within the Asia-Pacific region there is however a level of exchange and interaction which is far more significant when looking at the greater region as a whole — and that, in my opinion is the triangular interaction of North East Asia (China, South Korea, Japan), North America, and South America.  Of course, one could argue discounting Russia, India, Australia and the nations of SE Asia and leaves many players out of the equation. I only do so because their links to the America’s are relatively small when compared with China, South Korea and Japan.

Why is this triangular network so important you ask?  Let’s quickly review some facts which come to mind pertaining to a few specific categories — Economic output & International Trade, Commodity production/ consumption (energy, metals and agriculture), and geopolitical security

  • The Asia-Pacific region includes the world’s three largest economies — The United States, China (PRC), and Japan.
    • These three economies make up a large portion of global economic output, commodity consumption/production, and trade.
  • In terms of commodity consumption & production you find within this triangle (to name a few):
    • Top 5 iron ore producers – Brazil, China, Australia, India and Russia
    • Top 4 iron ore consumers – China, Russia, Japan and South Korea
    • A few of the top energy producers, Russia (#1), the US, China, Venezuela and ever more significant levels of energy production coming from Brazil and Canada
    • The top 5 oil consumers – United States, China, Japan, Russia, and India
    • The Top 5 copper producers – Chile, Peru, the US, China, Australia
    • 3/5 of the top copper consumers – China, India & the US
    • Major sources of precious metal production (Gold & Silver) Russia, China, Australia, Peru, Chile & the US
    • Major sources of precious metal demand – China, & the US
    • Major centers of global food production – Russia, the US and South America as a whole
    • Major centers of food consumption – China, India, & the US
  • Finally, the Asia-Pacific region includes many of the 21st century’s most potentially volatile geopolitical security issues. To name a few:
    • US-China relations
    • NE Asia which includes everything from
      • The balance of power between China, Japan, and Korea (and Russia) … and ultimately how the US factors into this region
      • The Korean Peninsula and all the related issues from re-unification of North & South Korea to proliferation of arms by North Korea
    • The South China Seas
    • The quagmire of complex inter-country relations in SE Asia
    • Taiwan
    • ETC
Part 2 of this entry to be published later this week.
Published by Bennett A. Reiss Iberico

 

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9th China International Silver Conference (CISC), Oct 15-17

Silver - Wikicommons

The 9th China International Silver Conference (CISC) will be held this week ,October 15-17.  Major players from across the industry will be heading to Beijing to partake and climb the Fragrant Hills, a beautiful mountain landscape on the outskirts of Beijing which your author climbed back in the fall of 2006.

Here’s some background information on the event. and if this isn’t enough feel free to visit http://silver2010.antaike.com/ for additional info.

As countries around the world have taken a proactive fiscal policy and monetary stimulus, as a result of the global financial crisis, economies have started to show signs of moderate recovery. At the end of 2009, international commodity markets began to rebound; gold and silver were no exception. The world economy continues to suggest complexity and uncertainty and the European sovereign credit crisis is deepening. Many analysts suggest that the price of gold and silver will continue to rise.

In 2010, two principles of global economic recovery are industrial resurgence and the gradual withdraw of government stimulus policy. Governments, under the overall objective background of improving global industrial structure, encouraging economic development methodologies, and controlling inflation, are exploring the new international financial state of affairs. In this post-crisis era, it is also important to grasp potential new financial regulations. The 9th CISC will examine new trends in the global silver market, and discuss ways market participants can help further accelerate silver industrial restructuring and revitalization.

Accordingly, the 2010 China International Silver Conference, will be hosted by Gems & Jewelry Trade Association of China, and co-hosted by China General Chamber of Commerce, China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, China Chamber of Commerce of Metals Minerals & Chemicals Importers and Exporters, and the Silver Institute. The CISC is will be organized by Beijing Antaike Information Development Co., Ltd, and will be held in Beijing, at the Fragrant Hill Empark Hotel (five stars) on October 15th-17th, 2010.

9th China International Silver Conference (CISC) will invite important national ministries and leading global industry executives, as well as experts in China and abroad to discuss macroeconomics and the global financial situation, silver industry policy orientation, industry upgrades and technical progress. Additionally, Oct 16th is the Double Ninth Festival in the Chinese lunar calendar, which is an auspicious day worthy of celebration. The custom of ascending a height to avoid epidemics was passed down from long time ago. CISC organizers in particular are looking forward to a climbing tour to Fragrance Hill in
accordance with this event.

Conference Theme: Focus on Beijing, Explore in Development, Open up Interspace
Conference Date: Oct 15th-17th, 2010 Beijing, China
Conference Address: Fragrant Hill Empark Hotel (five stars), Beijing

Conference Scale: 300-400 attendees
Conference Attendee: Silver and precious metals producers, consumers, traders, stock and bond brokers, investors, researchers, media and etc
Conference Format: Reports, Discussion and Activities

Hosted by: Gems & Jewelry Trade Association of China
China General Chamber of Commerce
China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association
China Chamber of Commerce of Metals Minerals & Chemicals Importers and Exporters
The Silver Institute

Organized by:Beijing Antaike Information Development Co., Ltd.
Co-hosted by:Henan Jiyuan Jinli Smelting Co., Ltd.

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China Doubles Korea Bond Holdings as Asia Switches From Dollar Reserves

Bloomberg VideoBrookings’s Lieberthal Interview on China’s Economy

Kenneth Lieberthal, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institute, a Washington policy group, talks about the outlook for China’s economy and the mainland’s holdings of U.S. Treasuries. China cut its holdings of Treasury notes and bonds by the most ever, raising speculation the plunge in U.S. yields that sent two-year rates to a record low has made government securities too expensive for some investors. Lieberthal talks with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat from Washington. (Source: Bloomberg)

Click here to watch the interview at Bloomberg.com

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New Silk Road Built by China Connects Asia to Latin America – Bloomberg

Bloomberg just published a fascinating article about the growth of inter-emerging market trade.   I highly recommend read the complete story, direct from Bloomberg’s website.  Below, CSA presents a few excerpts from the article, which highlight some of the exchange between fellow emerging markets.

“There are now massive trade connections within the emerging markets and they’re becoming increasingly important,” said King in a telephone interview. “It means in one sense the emerging world is protected from the worst ravages of the developed world.”

Shenzen-based Huawei Technologies Co., its biggest maker of phone equipment, had orders of $1.7 billion from India in 2008 and said in January that it will invest $500 million in its research center in Bangalore.

China Mobile Ltd. of Hong Kong, the world’s biggest phone carrier, is “interested in doing business in Africa,” where it can boost services in rural areas, Chairman Wang Jianzhou said in a June 26 interview.

Vale in 2009 acquired stakes in three copper projects, in Zambia, Africa’s largest producer of the metal, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. In April this year, the company agreed to pay $2.5 billion for iron ore deposits in Guinea, including assets the country confiscated from the Rio Tinto Group.

There is still scope for ties to strengthen. In a study released last week, the Washington-based Inter-American Development Bank concluded “massive bilateral trade” could develop between Latin America and India if tariffs are cut.

Click here to access the complete article from Bloomberg

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Happy New Year Asia & Oceania

Asia and Oceania ushered in 2010 a few hours ago.  Here’s a window into the celebrations which took place across the region.

CSA will start with none other than China, The country which unarguably had the most people around the world wishing one another a happy new year at the same time… Not because they have 1.4 billion people, but rather because the entire country is in one time zone, that of Beijing.  Happy New Year China!  I’ll be seeing you soon (CSA will be updated from China as of 2010).

China

Top Chinese leaders including President Hu Jintao on Wednesday watched Peking Opera at the National Center for the Performing Arts in a gala to mark the New Year. (Xinhua Photo)

Soldiers in NE China celebrate new year with local ethnic people. (Xinhua Photo)

Vocalist Kang Mao of Chinese rock band "SUBS" performs at a rock gala to celebrate the New Year in Beijing December 31, 2009. Picture taken December 31, 2009. (REUTERS)

Taiwan – China

A person holding an umbrella watches fireworks exploding from the world's tallest completed skyscraper Taipei 101 during New Year celebrations in Taipei January 1, 2010. (REUTERS)


Australia

Sydney, Australia - Celebrates New Years 2010 (Photo via Newsfromrussia)

Singapore

Fireworks light up the skyline of the financial district to usher in the New Year on Jan. 1, 2010 in Singapore. (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Japan

People release balloons as the Tokyo Tower is illuminated to celebrate New Year at a countdown event at the Zojo-ji Buddhist temple in Tokyo January 1, 2010. (REUTERS)

South Korea

Christians sing a hymn during a prayer to celebrate the New Year at Imjingak pavilion near the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas in Paju, about 52 km (32 miles) north of Seoul, January 1, 2010. (REUTERS)


Indonesia

Fireworks explode above downtown Jakarta's Welcome Monument, Indonesia, early Friday, Jan. 1, 2010. (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS)

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