China Latin America Trade Jumps in 2010

Presidents Dilma Rousseff and Hu Jintao in China last month can celebrate rising two-way trade. (Photo: Roberto Stuckert Filho/PR)

China’s trade with Latin America is growing twice as fast as U.S. trade with the region.

BY RUTH MORRIS of the The Latin American Business Chronicle

SHANGHAI — China’s dragon breathed fire into Latin America in 2010, as trade between the two sides shot up by a spectacular 51.2 percent, to $178.6 billion, and memories of the economic recession melted away.

China’s trade with Latin America is growing at nearly twice the level of US trade with the region. It also is significantly higher than the 31 percent increase in trade between the European Union and Latin America last year.

Click here to read more direct from the Latin American Business Chronicle

Brazil-China-US; a soap opera made in heaven

Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff toasts with China's President Hu Jintao after a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, April 12, 2011. Credit: Reuters/Jason Lee

Last month when US President Obama visited Brazil, a lot was expected from the visit in that he was meant to focus on ways to work with Brazil to counter China’s control of the RMB, which both seem is undervauled.  The visit fell way short of expectations, and was even lambasted by most US media as a unnecessary and untimely trip in light of the crisis in the middle-east the US actions in Libya.

Last week, Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff visited China, and it now seems Brazil interests are leaning more towards cooperation with China than the US.  Rousseff’s trip is being hailed as a major success both in China and back in Brazil.  She left with promises and new contracts for China to purchase billions of dollars of Brazilian made industrial goods–not soy beans or iron ore.

Where will Brazil’s interests eventually lean — the US or China?  Is there a way for the three to work together in a productive, positive way for the better of all?  Or will Brazil eventually have to choose? Between the US, who has long ignored it rising clout and is considered by most Brazilians to not respect the country as much as it should?  Or will it choose choose China, which for better or worse is more interested in Brazil’s raw natural resources than it is in buying its industrial goods like jets?  Furthermore, if Brazil wants to speed up development of its high tech and industrial sectors–it’s number one competitor will come from China, not the US…?

This is a foreign policy soap opera in the making people.

I suggest all those interested in the topic, go over to Reuters and read a great analysis published today about this all.

Lima to host 5th China-Latin American Business Summit

Img: Courtesy of Wikicommons

Andina News Agency has just reported (technically announced) the 5th China-Latin American Business Summit will be held in Lima this year:

Lima, Mar. 30 (ANDINA). The Peruvian capital will host the 5th China-Latin American Business Summit to be held from November 21-22 this year at The Westin Libertador hotel, the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT) reported.

CCPIT Latin America and Oceania Department Director Lei Hong said that Peru was chosen as the venue because of the recent Free Trade Agreement (FTA) signed with China, which is why Peru’s Foreign Ministry is organizing the event.

According to her, some 300 entrepreneurs from the Asian giant attended the previous editions, and a similar amount is expected for this year’s summit.

In addition, an exhibition of products from China and other participating countries, as well as business roundtables and meetings among CEOs will also take place.

The previous business summits have been carried out in Santiago (Chile), Harbin (China), Bogota (Colombia), and Chengdu (China).

Booming Brazil – Bloomberg Video

Brazil’s highway to China

Highway to China

Indeed, the real purpose of our helicopter trip was to view Mr Batista’s latest project, a vast superport north of Rio, built with this customer in mind.

The centrepiece of the complex is a two-mile-long pier jutting straight out into the South Atlantic, which has been dubbed “the highway to China”.

[...] Click here to read the full article direct from BBC

Interview with Dr. Kevin P. Gallagher, author of the “Dragon in the Room: China and the Future of Latin America”

Last week, China South America was fortunate enough to meet and interview, via a skype, Dr. Kevin P. Gallagher, author the new book   The Dragon in the Room: China and the Future of Latin American Industrialization (with Roberto Porzecanski).

Dr. Gallagher is a Professor at Boston University in International Relations and is faculty coordinator for Boston University’s Global Development Policy Program. Furthermore, In 2009 he served on the investment subcommittee of the US Department of State’s of the Advisory Committee on International Economic Policy. Professor Gallagher writes regular columns on global economic and development policy for The Guardian, Financial Times, and POLITICO.  He co-chairs the Triple Crisis blog.

In the roughly 30 minutes we talked, we discussed

What motivated you? Dr. Gallagher to write the Sino-Latin American dynamic and motivated him to write The Dragon in the Room: China and the Future of Latin American Industrialization

Mr. Gallagher’s inspiration emerged from the 3 years he spent living in Guadalajara, also known as Mexico’s Silicon Valley.  During his time in Mexico, it became very clear there was a “new kid on the block.”  When speaking with Mexican professionals, the US market and future significance for the Mexican economy had to Mr. Gallagher’s surprise taken a back seat to the emergence of China.

It was around this time in 2005, Dr. Gallagher began to investigate what the rise of China meant for both Mexico, and the greater Latin America region.  Would China’s high speed growth and fast rising competitiveness undermine Latin America’s capacity to develop their own competitive industries, or would China’s rise breed new possibilities and growth in Latin American countries?  This formed foundation for his book, which you can click here to purchase a copy of.

Next we discussed the general importance of the growth of Sino-Latin American relations and trade.

Similar to the perspectives often presented here at ChinaSouthAmerica.com, Dr. Gallagher feels the rise of China and its penetration in Latin America comes with a significant amount of uncertainty for the region, offering both opportunities and dangers.  The opportunities are clearer for some countries than others.

For major commodity producers down in South America; Venezuela, Peru, Chile and Argentina the rewards are being felt tangibly, and NOW.  China has presented itself as a new market for their raw materials exports, and Chinese demand has helped push the prices of raw materials to record highs.  However, the danger is that history may well repeat itself if the income generated from selling raw materials to China are not re-deployed efficiently and strategically to create sustainable, globally competitive industries.

The panorama for Mexico and Brazil, Latin America’s economic giants share some similarities because both countries have well a relatively broad range of developed, competitive industrial sectors.  In this case, China is a challenger to their own industries.  The positive and negatives effects of being forced to compete with their Chinese counterparts is debatable, but thus it seems Mexican and Brazilian companies have managed to meet the challenge and it seems Chinese competition will in the long-run catalyze innovation and economies of scale.

On the other hand, there are also major differences for Mexico and Brazil when considering China.  The major difference, and one that is impossible to overlook, is undoubtedly Mexico’s proximity to the United States.    Mexico competes almost directly with China’s manufacturing sector.  The major factor which will dictate how the future unfolds concerns how well Mexico can capitalize off the geographic competitive advantage of being at the door step of the world’s largest consumer market.  It will be important to monitor:

• Rising wages in China vs. Mexico.
• Raw material costs
• The total costs of producing increasingly sophisticated manufactured goods in both countries vs. total time it takes to produce and deliver the goods to the end buyers.

What’s next? Right now the majority of interaction between China and Latin America is occurring at a two levels—government to government, and major company to company.  What are your perspectives on the future of growth of a third level of exchange—that being personal ones between Chinese and Latin Americans down on the ground in both China and Latin America?  What types of opportunities does the future hold for the next generation that is able to form these links?

Like your author of ChinaSouthAmerica.com, Dr. Gallagher believes this to be the “million dollar question,” and one that is not easy to answer.  We will sadly have to wait for his next book which will focus on this question, and which your author hopes to help Mr. Gallagher answer when the time comes.

To conclude, I asked Dr. Gallagher about if he had any thoughts to share on the specific countries of Peru, Chile, Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela, Colombia– the countries which your author most closely follows.

“These are a very diverse set of countries, and I wouldn’t dare generalize across the entire set of them.  The one thing I can say about each of these is that in terms of copper (Peru and Chile), Iron (Brazil), soy (Brazil and Argentina), and crude oil (Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela) this particular set of Latin American nations and the respective commodities is very strategic for China.  China will continue to purchase imports of these commodities and to invest heavily in them.  These country’s governments should be strategic in return.  In order to get the broadest set of benefits from this new market player in China, Latin Americans have to see to it that they can also provide stable supplies over time, create jobs for their people, and manage their exchange rates so that commodities exports don’t crowd out more productive and employment creating activity.  If these nations see China as an opportunity, by bargaining hard with the Chinese and put in place parallel policies in terms of jobs, industrialization, and environmental policy, China may turn out to be a boon.“

As I am currently writing this post from China, where this book is not yet available, I unfortunately have not yet been able to get my hands on a copy of this book. In the 30 minutes I spoke with Dr. Gallagher he exhibited great insight on all that is the growth of Sino-Latin American relations and economic exchange.  I look forward to reading the book for myself after I get my hands on a copy in January when I travel to the US and South America.  If you the reader seek a rich and comprehensive analysis on the growth of China and Latin America’s relations, ChinaSouthAmerica highly recommends you pick up your own copy of The Dragon in the Room: China and the Future of Latin American Industrialization.

CLICK HERE to buy your own copy (hardcover) from Amazon.com of The Dragon in the Room: China and the Future of Latin American Industrialization

or, CLICK HERE for the soft cover edition

BRIC Love; Worthy reads about China-Brazil/Latam & India-Latam

1. China Investments: Brazil Top Focus

Brazil and natural resources are the main focus for China’s investments in Latin America writes Kevin P. Gallagher

China’s foreign investment into Africa has been generating a great deal of controversy. Some argue that China is becoming the new colonial power over Africa, others see China as a key source of foreign exchange that may finally help spur long-run economic growth in Africa [...click above to access the full story].

2. India Exports to Latin America

Minister of State for Commerce and Industry Jyotiraditya Scindia has emphasised the need for a shift in export from northern hemisphere to southern hemisphere in line with south-south cooperation. He said that while advanced nations would show an import growth of around 0.9-1 per cent in future, developing economies would exhibit an import growth between 4.5 and 5 per cent.

Mr. Scindia was speaking at a function organised by the Federation of Indian Export Organisations here on Tuesday to present the Niryat Shree and the Niryat Bandhu awards 2008-09. The awards honour outstanding exporters, export promotion councils, commodity boards, export development authorities, banks and other agencies.

Highlighting the potential and complementaries of economies between India and Latin America, the Minister said India needed to augment its exports to Latin American countries as these were vibrant economies. “The government will chalk out a strategy to facilitate exports and investment after an in-depth study which will be commissioned shortly,” he added [...click above to access the full story].

China’s Kerui Group chooses Peru as its base for greater South American market

President of Shandong Kerui Group Holding Corporation, Yang Xian - Andina

Andina News Agency reports Chinese corporation Kerui Group has expressed its interest in entering the Peruvian market by setting up an oil and gas equipment plant with an initial investment of US$10 million.

This supports my long standing opinion that Peru is perfectly positioned geographically, politically and economically to emerge as “China & Asia’s gateway to South America.”

The President of Kerui Group Holding Corporation, Yang Xian, seems to agree.

“This venture into our market aims to meet oil equipment demands of countries such as Colombia, Ecuador, Venezuela, Bolivia and Brazil.”

“Politics and economic activity in Peru is better than in other Latin American countries such as Venezuela. We can strengthen our presence in Latin America from there, that would be our next task.”

Yang made these comments during the visit of Peruvian entrepreneurs to 3rd China International Petroleum and Petrochemical Equipment & Technology Exhibition (CIPEE) 2010 taking place in Dongying.

Currently around 50% of Kerui Group’s annual production is exported to U.S. and other countries such as Canada, Saudi Arabia, India, Russia, Kazajstán as well as other 30 countries in Middle East, Asia and Africa.  This marks their latest move to expand their market reach.

Sinopec to Invest $7.1 Billion in Repsol’s Brazil Unit

China Petrochemical Corp., the country’s second-largest oil and gas producer, will invest $7.1 billion in Repsol YPF SA’s Brazilian unit as the Spanish oil company raises funds to develop offshore projects.

Sinopec Group, as the company is known, will buy new shares in the Brazilian unit and will hold 40 percent of that division after the capital increase, Madrid-based Repsol said today in a statement. Shares in Repsol, which previously planned an initial public offering of the unit, jumped to a two-year high.

The acquisition is the second-largest overseas purchase by a Chinese company as the world’s biggest energy consumer snaps up fields to meet surging demand. Repsol has stakes in blocks in Brazil’s Santos and Espirito Santo basins and plans to invest as much as $14 billion there through 2019. It estimates the Guara and Carioca fields may hold as much as 3 billion barrels.

… Continue reading here direct from Bloomberg

New Silk Road Built by China Connects Asia to Latin America – Bloomberg

Bloomberg just published a fascinating article about the growth of inter-emerging market trade.   I highly recommend read the complete story, direct from Bloomberg’s website.  Below, CSA presents a few excerpts from the article, which highlight some of the exchange between fellow emerging markets.

“There are now massive trade connections within the emerging markets and they’re becoming increasingly important,” said King in a telephone interview. “It means in one sense the emerging world is protected from the worst ravages of the developed world.”

Shenzen-based Huawei Technologies Co., its biggest maker of phone equipment, had orders of $1.7 billion from India in 2008 and said in January that it will invest $500 million in its research center in Bangalore.

China Mobile Ltd. of Hong Kong, the world’s biggest phone carrier, is “interested in doing business in Africa,” where it can boost services in rural areas, Chairman Wang Jianzhou said in a June 26 interview.

Vale in 2009 acquired stakes in three copper projects, in Zambia, Africa’s largest producer of the metal, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. In April this year, the company agreed to pay $2.5 billion for iron ore deposits in Guinea, including assets the country confiscated from the Rio Tinto Group.

There is still scope for ties to strengthen. In a study released last week, the Washington-based Inter-American Development Bank concluded “massive bilateral trade” could develop between Latin America and India if tariffs are cut.

Click here to access the complete article from Bloomberg