Shanghai to Challenge HK on IPO’s

It seems the latest buzz is how Shanghai is set to challenge Hong Kong’s status as the world’s IPO “fund-raising king.”  CNBC, Bloomberg, China Daily, Reuters, etc are all talking about it.  CSA asks, is this a legitimate claim?

It is difficult to argue with the numbers.  According to this article, HK is expected to raise about $47.7 billion this year in 2010, while Shanghai is predicted will attract about $55.7 billion.

The key question to ask is, who is raising this money?  Hong Kong has the institutions, history and legal framework for international company’s to list on its bourse, while Shanghai does not.  In other words, the mainland may attract more money in IPO’s, but the money is going to be raised primarily by mainland company’s–specifically ones state owned entities.

Shanghai is preparing a international board which will allow foreign company’s to list on the mainland but, when this will come online is anybody’s guess.  Shanghai still lacks a developed insurance market, many private company’s on the mainland fear listing because of the potential of being forced to pay higher taxes after they make their accounting public / transparent, margin trading and short-selling is limited, the bond market is small, and stock market futures were only introduced today (see this Bloomberg article).

Nonetheless, there are company’s working on getting access to Shanghai.  The China Daily reports the first company’s which are hoping to list on the mainland’s A-share market are HSBC and the global exchange group NYSE-Euronext.  HSBC, is essentially the main player in HK’s HengSeng inde, while NYSE-Euronext represent the investors vehicle for investing in shares of the New York Stock Exchange its its European Counterpart.  Once again CSA asks, “where do regular company’s from abroad fit into this context?

In this article from the China Daily, Terence Ho, a analyst with Ernst & Young explains “Currently, the two places have different roles.  Hong Kong caters to millions of international investors while Shanghai mainly targets domestic investors. In the short term, Shanghai is unlikely catch up with Hong Kong in terms of international exposure and liquidity.”

CSA is inclined to agree with Mr. Ho, the two markets do have different roles at the moment.  As hungry as company’s around the world are tap mainland capital, China would rather have both financial centers fill different niches at the moment.

Shanghai will only come to dominate the Hong Kong’s IPO market once its financial services expand and it develops the framework for facilitating the listing of international company’s on the mainland.

The growth of stock markets in Latin America

The Latin Business Chronicle published a story today which technically, was supposed to focus on the growth of Colombia’s stock exchange and explain why it was the regions best performer last year.

In addition to Colombia, the article also shares data complied by Economatica on the growth of the other major stock exchanges in the region, which is what CSA will be sharing with you today.  To read the full article from the Latin Business Chronicle click here.

Colombia – Best performer in Latam last year, IGBC (Colombia’s benchmark) stock index has grown in value by 927.9% during the past 10 years, and average decline in value of transactions in 2008 was 2.3%—lower than all other countries in the region

Brazil – Latin America’s largest stock market, Ibovespa (Brazil’s benchmark) stock index has grown 301.3% during the past 10 years, and the average decline of transitions in 2008 compared with 2009 was 13.6%.

Mexico – IPC (major benchmark index in Mexico) has grown 250.5% during the past 10 years, and the average decline in transactions last year was 13.9%

Venezuela – The Caracas stock index has grown by 916.5% during the past 10 years, and the average decline in transactions was 29.5% last year—the second worst in Latin America.

Argentina – The Merval inces has grown by 321.3% during the past ten years, and had the worst average decline in transactions last year, suffering a decline of 54.4%.

Peru – The Lima stock index (IGBVL) has been one of the regions best performing in the past few years.  Seeing growth of 671.1% during the past 10 years, and a decline in average transactions last year of 21%.

Chile – Last but not least, Chile’s IPSA index has grown by 218.8% over the past 10 years, and the average decline in transactions last year was a mere 3.6%-second best next to Colombia.

When everyone’s bullish on China… be careful

Markets soured higher across the world today, Monday Jan 4, 2010… mostly on news of China’s manufacturing data, which was better than expected.  This CNBC video provides a few perspectives that are not quite as bullish and offers some good insight if you’re a China investor.

Don’t adopt a ‘buy and hold’ strategy when investing in China, advises Chi Lo, head of overseas investment at Ping An of China Asset Mgmt.

China’s private sector ventures into Latin America

A private Guangdong based firm by the name of Rixin Development, has reached an agreement to buy a majority stack in the ownership of a Chilean iron ore mine.

Rixin Development will acquire a 70% stake in the Chilean property.  Such a deal shows the power of China’s up and coming company’s.  For starters,  Rixin Development is listed only on a local provincial enterprise information website,  sdwin.com.  The company does not have its own home page.  Officially it is a “trader for home appliances, textiles, auto parts and so on, and importer and exporter of various products and technologies.” However, I wish any readers the best of luck if they undertake the challenge to find any further information from a official company medium.

If you follow Alibaba.com’s 101 on how to avoid being scammed in China, such a deal should probably send alarm bells off.   Perhaps in the post, economic-recession world of 2010, the traditional elements which define a professional entity are no longer necessary.  Especially when your a developing Latin American country hungry for investment… or a private investor in China, STARVING for investment opportunities in a very over-saturated market with little options on where to park your capital and have it grow at the same time.  It is clear, the deal is going through and that the company is legitimate.

Li Zihao, president of Rixin was recently quotes saying, “privately-owned companies are in a better position to invest in overseas natural resources.” Time will tell if this is actually true, or if the central government is content with allowing such a dynamic to emerge.

Read a more comprehensive article on the facts (which are known) surrounding this deal via this article over at ChinaMining.org.

China to introduce index futures

China plans to unveil its first index futures as early as this March 2010.  Bloomberg reports in this article:

The State Council, China’s cabinet, has given the China Securities Regulatory Commission approval “in principle” to introduce index futures, said the person, who declined to be identified before an announcement. The first contract, based on China’s CSI 300 Index, may begin trading after the Communist party’s annual congress in March, the official said.

Index futures would give investors in China a mechanism to profit from declines in prices for the first time, allowing them to hedge risks. That may help ease fluctuations in a market in which the stock benchmark almost doubled in 2007, slumped 65 percent in 2008 and rebounded 80 percent last year.

“For institutional investors, having stock index futures is important,” said Tony Wu, Shanghai-based portfolio manager at Martin Currie Investment Management, which oversees $4 billion in Greater China. “There will be some tools we can use to hedge risks.”

Click this link to read the complete article at Bloomberg.com

Brazil, China Gain Clout in MSCI Emerging Markets Index – WSJ

[Source] – Wall Street Journal

The growing influence of Brazil and China in the world economy received further recognition this week when the most commonly used benchmark for emerging-market stocks increased the weighting of companies in those nations.

MSCI Inc’s MSCI Global Standard Indices said in its latest semiannual review this week that it will add 11 Brazilian companies to its MSCI Emerging Markets index at the end of the month, making Brazil the top gainer in the 22-country list. China was the second-highest gainer, with MSCI adding seven securities issued by companies in China and deleting one.

“A move like this further confirms our view of the importance of investing in small- and mid-cap names in emerging markets for investors. This increase in weighting also provides evidence that the extraordinary amount of [initial public offerings] to come out of Brazil over the past three years have, for the most part, been well received by investors,” said Ed Kuczma, an equity analyst at Van Eck Global in New York.

Brazil and China have been gaining a steady share of this marketplace segment, and MSCI is simply echoing the sentiment of many investors. “Our standard indices are just passive reflections of the market,” said Dimitris Melas, executive director in research for MSCI Barra in London.

“If China and Brazil continue to lead this [recent stock] rally, then you might see their weight and the number of companies increasing further,” he said.

Click here to read the complete story from the Wall Street Journal, by Riva Froymovich

Singapore-Latin Trade: Singapore and Panama in focus

Attention! / ¡Atención! / ???

Merlion - Singapore

For those of you out there who pay the whoppin’ $399 a year for a subscription to the Latin Business Chronicle, you can feast your eyes on some juicy reporting about Singapore’s growing trade with Latin America, particularly with Panama.

Here’s a brief synopsis from CSA of what was available for free from the Latin Business Chronicle:

Singapore’s trade with  Panama is a $6.6 billion usd, more than double Singapore’s entire trade with its second largest trading partner in Latin America, Brazil.

Considering that Singapore has signed Free Trade Agreements with the South American countries of Peru and Chile which have yet to help increase total exchange to a level even comparable with Panama’s.  It is clear to CSA, Singapore has found a healthy partner in Panama and it plans to nourish the relationship.

Panama is country of similar size (population wise), like Singapore it is strategically positioned in the middle a important global trade network, and it is increasingly open to economic cooperation with Asia.

Long term, CSA believes that Singapore is playing it smart in Latin America.  It is positioning itself to not only benefit directly from trade, but also from the growth of trade between other Asian and Latin American countries.

In other words, once Singapore has established a base of operations in Panama, it will probably expand into the business of providing services for other countries and companies within the Asia – Latin America trade network.

Below are a few excerpts from the Latin Business Chronicle article you can access directly via this link.

Soon, Singapore will also be known locally for its port services. PSA International, the world’s second-largest container terminal operator, will be competing with Hong Kong-based Hutchison Whampoa, the world’s largest operator for container traffic that goes through Panama.

PSA is building a terminal at the Pacific entrance of the Panama Canal, right across from the Port of Balboa, which is operated by Hutchison unit Panama Ports Company. It expects to open the terminal, located at what once was a US Naval station, next year.

The current and future business generated by ST Aerospace and PSA is helping cement Panama as Singapore’s top trading partner in Latin America. Singapore’s trade with Panama is twice as large as its second-largest trade partner in Latin America, Brazil.

Last year, Singapore’s total trade with Panama grew by 59.6 percent to 9.2 billion Singapore dollars (US$6.6 billion), according to a Latin Business Chronicle analysis of IE Singapore data. While Singapore exports still dominate the …

Duke Seeks China Partnerships in U.S., South America – Bloomberg

Nov. 2 (Bloomberg) — Duke Energy Corp., the owner of utilities in the U.S. Southeast and Midwest, is in talks with Chinese companies on U.S. power investments and plans to pursue joint projects with Asian partners in South America.

Duke, which is building a hydroelectric plant in Brazil and expanding its power output in Peru, would like to have more assets in those countries, Chief Executive Officer Jim Rogers said yesterday in an interview in Hollywood, Florida. Chinese partners would allow the Charlotte, North Carolina-based company to carry “large” projects, he said.

“We’re looking for partners to expand our Latin operations faster,” Rogers said. “Over time, we would like to partner with Chinese energy companies in investments in the U.S. as well as South America.

Click here to access the full article from Bloomberg, written By Katarzyna Klimasinska

China’s Africa goals more than just natural resources – Reuters

~ Gavin Coates

BEIJING (Reuters) – Barely a month goes by without some new energy or mineral deal being struck between China and an African nation. These deals have transfixed the West, but China gets far more from the relationship than raw resources.

Africa offers China two important things — a chance to earn the global respect it believes it deserves in recognition of its growing economic clout, and friends who do not judge it, or who at least have little reason to directly fear China’s rise.

China’s friendly relations with Africa go back decades, to when Beijing backed newly independent states as well as liberation movements. The continent’s backing was vital in getting China into the United Nations in 1971.

“You could argue that the contemporary driver is economic, but they’ve always had a political interest in Africa, from the mid-1950s onward,” said Chris Alden, an Africa expert at the London School of Economics.

“As China becomes a more active player in multilateral affairs, it recognizes it needs partners, and Africa in many ways is a very suitable partner.”

In 2006, President Hu Jintao promised a leap in investment, trade and aid at Beijing’s first summit with African leaders. At the G20 summit of big developed and developing economies last November, he raised Africa’s needs during the global economic turmoil.

Click here to read the complete article written by Reuters reporter Ben Blanchard

China’s seemingly unending quest for resources continues

Sinopec Corp. announced today that it expects to incorporate parts of its overseas assets from its parent company Sinopec Group into its listed listed company in China.

Wang Xinhua, chief financial officer (CFO) of the oil firm  said “the good overseas assets of the Sinopec Group, the parent company of Sinopec Corp., would be injected into the listed company before the end of the year.”

CSA smell’s a bid to strengthen the traded shares, especially once Chinese investors jump on the bandwagon.

The assets in question are found in countries ranging from Russia, Australia and Canada.   Company data indicates that by the end of 2008, Sinopec’s overseas recoverable reserves reached 160 million tons.

According to this ChinaMining.org article Sinopec Groups oil equity production in 2008 was 9.01 million tons, accounting for up about one-third of Sinopec’s total output.  This year overseas oil equity output will rise to roughly, 17.40 million tons, almost double the previous year.

Qiu Xiaofeng, an analyst with Merchants Securities, reckon that the Sinopec Group’s overseas assets are able to generate about 11.2 billion yuan of profit or 0.13 yuan EPS, if the oil price stays at 75 US dollars/barrel.  On the news, Founder Securities maintains its rating of “overweight” on Sinopec Corp.  A-stock.

Here’s a look at the two year performance of this growing Chinese energy giant’s shares on the NYSE.

SHI - NYSE