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Chinalco Mining tumbles 6.3pc on trading debut

[Source] : South China Morning Post

Shares in Chinalco Mining Corp International, which is developing a copper mine in Peru, closed 6.3 per cent lower than their offered price on their trading debut yesterday.

The sharp price fall might have been caused by retail investors, who tended to have a short investment horizon and were not familiar with the company’s operations and outlook, analysts said.

Chinalco Mining is the overseas non-aluminium and non-ferrous metals arm of state-owned Aluminum Corp of China (Chinalco).

“Chinalco Mining’s operation in Peru is a long way from Hong Kong and production will only begin late this year, so it’s not easy for local investors to picture its prospects,” said Christfund Securities research director Simon Lam Ka-hang.

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CSA Analysis – Latin America – China in focus

[Img] : Courtesy of WikiCommons

As the spread of article excerpts below will exhibit, the China – Latin America relationship and its future will be more than simple a complementary exchange of Latin American natural resources for Chinese manufactured goods. Although, as the 4th article indicates below, from China’s State Media Giant Xinhua explains, the corner stone of Sino-Latin American relations still remain within the realm of the “complementary exchange,” the two regions offer one another.  However, as CSA attempts to exhibit in this piece, the growth of Sino-Latin American ties also includes:

1/ Cheap Chinese Loans (especially to countries cut off from borrowing  raising money on international markets), which represent new sources in which Latin American countries can borrow money and raise money instead of traditional means they have been forced to reply upon since independence – Loans from European and US Banks, issuing bonds, shares in companies on international stock markets, and other financial market market vehicles where international investors allocate their money in Latin America.

2/ Beyond new markets for China’s manufactured goods, China has began to aggressively expanded into Latin America’s service sectors — Banking, Telecommunications, Logistics, and more.

3/ Defense… A rather sensitive and misunderstood area of cooperation because both China and their counter-parts in Latin America do not go into great detail to explaining very clearly what their ultimate goals for enhancing military cooperation may be.  As the author of this blog who has followed this topic for many years, I am personally of the opinion that is it all about following the money trail. An actual military alliance or very close military ties with a specific country in Latin America would be very difficult for me to imagine.  The US, various countries within Latin America, others and around the world would have serious reasons to prevent such from every being reality. Not to mention, US Presidents throughout history have periodically used the proclamation of the policy outlined in the Monroe Doctrine, signed into being US President Monroe on December 2, 1823 to justify intervention in the hemisphere.

The Monroe Doctrine in short, is a statement made to the world that further efforts by other nation states to colonize land or interfere with independent states in North or South America would be viewed as acts of aggression, requiring U.S. intervention if deemed necessary. 

U.S. presidents, including Theodore Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon B. Johnson, Ronald Reagan have all fallen back on this proclamation to justify action in one form or another.  I don’t doubt for a second that if China’s expansion in the region, militarily speaking reached a tipping point where the a present day US President would find a means in which to justify intervention.  Perhaps again falling back on the policy outlines by the Monroe Doctrine, and adapted within context of current, present day geopolitics of the world.

Instead, as I mentioned above it’s about the money. The US, Europe, The UK, Russia, and now even Japan (which recently passed legislation allowing it to participate in the ever more lucrative market or arms trade), is where China’s primary interest lies. Just like China wants markets for its manufactured goods and services, there is also a great deal of money to made in selling the arms markets of the world, especially when you consider a region which has oddly enough in recent years began to increase military spending (see this article for more information regarding Latin America’s increase in Military Spending.

 

China Grabs Share in Latin America Wind With Cheap Loans

[Source] : BusinessWeek

By Stephan Nielsen on November 20, 2012

Chinese wind-turbine makers have broken into the South American market, the world’s fastest- growing, by offering government-backed loans at interest rates as much as 50 percent lower than local offerings.

The package deals can get buyers to choose Chinese machines over those of Western manufacturers such as Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS) of Denmark or General Electric Co., much in the way the U.S. government helps American exporters sell everything from cotton to satellites by guaranteeing loans or insurance.

Chinese Loan

Geassa, short for Generadora Eolica Argentina del Sur SA, is seeking a 12-year loan with a two-year grace period and an annual interest rate of 6 percent above Libor, the London interbank offered rate. The financing may be complete by June, he said. The company will use Chinese turbines and hasn’t selected a supplier.

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Correlation Breakdown as Asia, Latin America Diverge: Currencies

[Source] : BusinessWeek

By Ye Xie on November 20, 2012

Asian currencies that once moved in lockstep with their Latin American peers are diverging by the most ever as China attracts investors to the region without boosting commodities, the main exports for Brazil and Chile.

The four-week correlation between the currencies of the two regions reached minus 1 last month, meaning they always move in the opposite direction, according to index data compiled by Bloomberg and JPMorgan Chase & Co. As recently as May, the correlation was plus 1 as the indexes moved in tandem. The Chinese yuan has climbed to 19-year highs amid gains in retail sales and the South Korean won reached the strongest since 2011, while Brazil’s real and the pesos in Mexico, Chile and Colombia weakened over the past two months.

“Usually when people buy China, it boosts currencies in both Latin America and Asia,” Dirk Willer, the head of Latin American local-markets strategy at Citigroup Inc. in New York, said by phone. “But this time around, given that the commodity link isn’t working, people get bought up on Asia but not on Latin America. There’s a long-term structural story.”

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China Construction Bank Still Looking to Expand Into Latin America

[Source] : The Wall Street Journal

By Ryan Dube November 21, 2012, 1:37 p.m. ET

LIMA, Peru–State-run China Construction Bank Corp. (CICHY, 0939.HK, 601939.SH) is still looking to expand to Latin America and could announce plans to open an office in the region “quite soon,” a company executive said.

China’s second-biggest bank by assets is looking at acquisition targets and expansion opportunities throughout the region but especially in Brazil, said John Weinshank, head of corporate banking and trade finance at China Construction Bank’s U.S. branch.

Chinese companies are investing heavily in Latin America as they look to develop natural resources needed to fuel the Asian country’s rapid growth. One of the biggest Chinese investments in the region was the $7.1 billion deal by state-owned China Petrochemical Corp., or Sinopec, to purchase a 40% stake in Repsol YPF SA’s (REP.MC, REPYY) Brazilian unit.

In Peru, one of the world’s top mineral producers, Chinese companies are developing several copper and iron-ore projects. Together, these projects will require investments of about $11.4 billion, according to figures from Peru’s Mines and Energy Ministry. Chinese-owned projects represent about 20% of the total pipeline of investment projects in Peru’s mining sector.

“The bank is very keen to expand into the region and set up a foothold,” Mr. Weinshank said in an interview during the Latin American Banking Federation’s annual conference in Lima, which ended Tuesday. “Our customers are here and are doing business, so we have to follow our customers.”

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Economies of China, Latin America complementary: bank official

[Source] : Xinhua / China People’s Daily

LIMA, Nov. 20 (Xinhua) — The economies of China and Latin American countries are highly complementary, and bilateral trade has enjoyed rapid growth, a Chinese bank official told the 46th Annual Meeting of the Latin American Federation of Banks here on Tuesday.

The expansion of China’s domestic demand has been a driving force of Latin American economies, Ma Suhong, deputy division chief of Urban Finance Research Institute at the Industrial and Commercial bank of China said on the last day of the two-day event.

Ma noted that China invested a total of 12 billion U.S. dollars in Latin America in 2011. She attributed the fast development of China-Latin America cooperation partly to China’s large domestic need and economic woes suffered by the United States and European countries.

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Chinese defense minister meets with Latin American guests

[Source] : Xinhua / China People’s Daily

BEIJING, Nov. 20 (Xinhua) — Defense Minister Liang Guanglie met with delegates to the 1st China-Latin America high-level defense forum on Tuesday.

Liang hailed the increasingly close relations between China and Latin American countries in recent years, noting that the two sides have enjoyed frequent high-level visits, deepening political mutual trust, strengthening communication and cooperation, as well as effective coordination on major international affairs.

He said the forum shows that China attaches great importance to developing military relations with Latin American countries.

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Noticias de Argentina y China en foco

China confirmó que comprará más soja argentina

[Source] : Primera Edicion

El Gobierno de China confirmó la compra de 2,4 millones de toneladas de productos de soja argentinos, lo que significó un incremento del 10 por ciento en lo que va del año en comparación con igual período de 2011.

Así lo indicó el ministro de la Administración Estatal de Granos (AEG) de China, REN Zhengxiao, durante un encuentro con el titular de Agricultura argentino, Norberto Yauhar, quien resaltó que se recuperaron las ventas de aceite de soja a China.
También señaló que existe interés de la Argentina por “consolidar su posición como proveedor de granos y sus derivados a China”, expresó un comunicado oficial. Durante la reunión ambos funcionarios enfatizaron en la firma del “Memorando de Entendimiento sobre Cooperación en Materia de Granos” que tuvo lugar entre ambos Ministerios en junio pasado. Fue durante la visita del primer ministro WEN Jiabao a la Argentina. “Asimismo, Yauhar remarcó que se encuentra plenamente operativo el Protocolo Fitosanitario para exportar maíz argentino a China, esperando que las grandes empresas estatales de China (SINOGRAIN, COFCO, Chinatex, entre otras) comiencen prontamente a realizar las primeras órdenes de compra”, se explicó. Se buscó agilizar los procesos de comercialización mediante reuniones de referentes de la delegación argentina con empresarios.

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China ya superó a la Argentina como proveedor de autopartes a Brasil

[Source] : La Cronista

EDUARDO LAGUNA San Pablo

Con precios competitivos y escala de producción suficiente para abastecer su mercado local de vehículos -el más grande en términos globales-y enviar productos al resto del mundo, China está entre los cuatro mayores proveedores de autopiezas de Brasil.

Este año, los chinos superaron a Argentina, tradicional socio de la industria automovilística local, pero que perdió la cuarta posición por las barreras comerciales que impuso Brasil en respuesta a las trabas levantadas por el gobierno de Cristina Kirchner a la entrada de productos brasileños al país vecino.

Los proveedores nacionales se quejan por los bajos precios de los productos chinos, que aseguran se obtienen, muchas veces, sacrificando la calidad. Los importadores, a su vez, destacan el papel de los importados como regulador de precios y calidad de los productos brasileños, forzando a la industria nacional a aumentar la competitividad.

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Argentina está más cerca de exportar embriones bovinos a China

[Source] : Punto Biz

El Ministro de la Administración General de Supervisión de Calidad, Inspección y Cuarentena (AQSIQ) de China, ZHI Shuping, le confirmó hoy al Ministro de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca de la Nación, Norberto Yauhar, la realización a partir del mes de octubre de auditorías en nueve centros de inseminación artificial y transferencia de embriones bovinos. “Es el último paso para poder comenzar a exportar a China estos productos”, afirmó Yauhar luego de la reunión en la sede de la AQSIQ, en Beijing.

En este sentido, ZHI Shuping aseguró que “la relación con Argentina está viviendo una etapa muy exitosa. Hay una necesidad de ambos países de fortalecer esta relación estratégica”.

Las inspecciones servirán para hacer operativos los Protocolos Sanitarios firmados en la visita de mayo. “Argentina no sólo transfiere productos con alto valor agregado, sino también tecnología, conocimiento y desarrollo agropecuario”, remarcó Yauhar.

Como resultado del encuentro, el titular de la cartera agropecuaria nacional además confirmó: La inspección veterinaria a nuestro país para concluir el análisis de riesgo para la exportación de caballos vivos a China. “Existe una gran demanda de caballos para actividades deportivas y esparcimiento, y esta visita es un requisito esencial para poder completar la negociación y firmar el Protocolo Sanitario que abra el mercado chino a nuestros caballos”, resaltó Yauhar.

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Soy Rally Sends South American Growers Into Pastures

[Source] : Bloomberg

By Matt Craze and Mario Sergio Lima - Sep 13, 2012 4:00 PM GMT+0800

SoyBean Field – Paraguay, Photo taken in March 2012 by Bennett Reiss (Webmaster and author of CSA)

Leonildo Bares, a soybean grower near the Amazon farming frontier town of Sinop, said he’s so confident prices for the commodity will stay near record highs that he’ll extend his crop to neighbors’ boggy cattle pastures.

Confined by Brazil’s crackdown on logging in the Amazon, the farmer talked his neighbors into growing soybeans on their cleared land and sharing the profit. Bares, whose 420-hectare (1,038-acre) farm in the center-western state of Mato Grosso extends on what was untouched rainforest in the 1970s, plans to boost planting to 650 hectares. About 1 million hectares of the state’s pastures, an area the size of Jamaica, probably will be converted to soybean crops in coming years, he predicts.

“The pastures of Mato Grosso can be turned into soybean plantations and probably will,” Bares, who’s also the president of Sinop’s farmers association, said in a telephone interview from the city. “Anyone with the knowledge and money who’s willing to come here and do it, can do it.”

South American farmers like Bares have become the counterpoint to the worst drought in the U.S. Midwest in 76 years as they sow record crops during a global shortage of the oilseed used as animal feed in Asia. Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Bolivia and Uruguay will boost output by 34 million metric tons to 148.5 million in the 2012-2013 season, more than offsetting a decline of about 11.5 million tons to 71.7 million in the U.S., the Department of Agriculture said yesterday.

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China, un mercado jugoso para México

(*) Note: Apologies to non-Spanish speaking readers of CSA. This article and its content I have only been able to find in Spanish. 

Image courtesy of Mexicoinstitute . files . wordpress . com

 

[Source] : Alto Nivel

Las empresas mexicanas pueden perder una oportunidad de oro si no exportan al otro lado del Pacífico. Pero ya existe una incubadora para acelerarlo.

Muchos hilos comerciales se están tejiendo en Asia, y México corre el riesgo de perder una oportunidad de oro si no comienza a exportar al otro lado del Pacífico. La balanza comercial México-China es claramente favorable para Pekín, las exportaciones mexicanas han crecido hasta superar los 5 mil millones de dólares (mdd) en 2011, pero sus importaciones desde ese país son casi 10 veces superiores.

Después de Estados Unidos, desde donde México importa más de la mitad de todos los bienes y servicios que compra fuera, viene China, origen de más del 15% de las importaciones.

Otros países asiáticos, como Corea del Sur, representan el 4% de las importaciones nacionales, aproximadamente. Taiwán y Malasia se cercan al 2% cada uno. Sin embargo, la mayoría de las exportaciones mexicanas siguen dirigiéndose a Estados Unidos, lo que pone en evidencia la carencia de productos mexicanos en los mercados asiáticos. Esta tendencia puede crecer si se abre una zona de libre comercio con Asia y las consecuencias para la industria nacional, aunque impredecibles, son potencialmente desastrosas, a menos que Gobierno y empresas tracen una estrategia integral de comercio con Asia.

Diferentes estudios indican que China será la primera economía mundial en las próximas décadas. El ritmo y la constancia del crecimiento del gigante asiático es incuestionable y el ascenso de una clase media china trae consigo un mar de posibilidades comerciales para las empresas que miran al lejano oriente.

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Agriculture in focus: Chinese buy up soy beans & Glencore offers some positive outlook

Chinese buying could push soybeans over $20

[Source]: Reuters via Alberta Farmer Express – Canada

Buyers are starting to grow concerned about the diminishing reserves

Soybean plantation I drove past in Paraguay back in February of this year (2012). Soy exports remain a powerful driver of the Paraguayan Economy (and to a lesser degree because of more diversity of their exports — in Argentina and Uruguay as well).

Aug 23, 2012 11:04 AM – 0 comments TEXT SIZE
By: Gavin Maguire, Reuters
Crops, General, Markets

The July-September quarter is traditionally a soft period for U.S. soybean exports as the world’s top buyers of the oilseed typically divert their buying interest to South American suppliers while the U.S. crop rounds out the growing season.

But the shortage of supplies in Brazil and Argentina following this year’s drought in that region has forced the world’s top buyer China to start the current quarter with a six-year-high purchase of U.S. soybeans for the month of July and show continued solid demand so far in August.

Record high domestic soy prices suggest China may have further import buying to do in the weeks ahead, and should that buying occur amid fresh fears of potential U.S. crop shortages, could prove enough to push U.S. soy prices beyond the $20 per bushel mark.

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Glencore flags farming’s ‘positive’ fundamentals

[Source] : AgriMoney

Glencore flagged “positive” fundamentals for agriculture, and a 37% rebound in its profits in the sector, even as it warned over a “very challenging” European biodiesel market, and setbacks in Brazilian sugar.

“[Agriculture] industry fundamentals are the most positive they have been for some time,” Ivan Glasenberg, the Glencore chief executive, said, restating the rationale which had driven the group to buy Viterra, the Canadian grains handler.

In the short-term, the group noted flagged the setbacks to US crops which had made it “apparent that [grain and oilseed] production shortfalls will be severe, and supply/demand will consequently be extremely tight”.

This meant the second half of the year “is therefore likely to be a considerably higher-priced and more volatile environment than the first half of 2012″.

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Currency Flows Reversing China to Colombia as Trade Slows

[Source] : Bloomberg Businessweek

Just three months after the biggest developing economies sold dollars to support their currencies, policy makers from Colombia to China are moving to weaken exchange rates and revive exports as the International Monetary Fund forecasts the slowest trade growth in three years.

Colombian Finance Minister Juan Carlos Echeverry urged the central bank on Aug. 3 to boost minimum dollar purchases from $20 million a day, saying the country needs “more ammunition” to drive down the peso in the global “currency war.” The Philippines banned foreign funds from deposit accounts and unexpectedly cut interest rates in July as the peso hit a four- year high. In China, authorities lowered the yuan reference rate to the weakest since November, which according to Citigroup Inc. will create “headwinds” for other Asian currencies.

After spending more than $59 billion in foreign reserves in May and June to stem currency depreciation, developing nations are reversing policies as the European debt crisis outweighs the risk of faster inflation. South Korea and Chile may weaken exchange rates to make their exports cheaper, according to UBS AG. The IMF estimates global trade will expand at the slowest pace since 2009.

“Policy makers will become more aggressive,” said Bhanu Baweja, a London-based strategist at UBS. “The currency strengthening is in contrast with the state of the economy. That argues for much weaker foreign-exchange rates.”

Click here to read the complete article from Bloomberg Business Week

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Argentine Unionist Claims China Only Interested In Commodities

[Source]: Bernama Malaysian News Agency 

BUENOS AIRES, Aug 14 (BERNAMA-NNN-MERCOPRESS) — Trade with China for Argentina has great opportunities but also great threats because the Asian giant is only interested in produce with no added value, the head of Argentina’s Industrial Union, Ignacio De Mendiguren said.

“Trade with China has opportunities and threats. We must not fall into the temptation of limiting exports to commodities. Let us understand that in this growth cycle so favourable for Argentina, it should help us boost development”, said De Mendiguren with foreign correspondents in Buenos Aires.

It is clear that for China, “the added value must be incorporated in China” said the Argentine lobbyist and called for the diversification of trade with countries prepared to buy goods with more added value.

“China wants the soy bean, not even soy oil or soy flour and it is legitimate. That is why we must re-direction our trade to all those countries with middle classes that can purchase out goods but at the supermarket. China does not want Argentine products in their supermarkets”, said De Mendiguren.

Click here to read the complete article from Bernama Malaysian News Agency

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4th Latin America China Investors Forum

To all interested parties, CSA would like to inform you this September 11th and 12th, 2012 the 4th Annual Latin America China Investors Forum will take place in Shanghai.

Unfortunately attendance is not cheap.

The event is being co-sponsored by the likes of: HSBC, IFC, Standard Chartered, GOL, Darby, the IDB, Sino Latin Capital and many more.

Click here to learn more about the event

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