Sinopec's profit soars; announces plans to boost oversea expansion

Sinopec’s (a.k.a China Petroleum & Chemical Corp.) net income rose at least tenfold to 22 billion yuan ($3.22 billion usd) in the second quarter according to this Bloomberg article.

The company has also announced it is planning a “rapid” overseas expansion in order to secure energy supply adequate to feed Chinese demand.

The announcement, along with the company’s record gains in profit come as other global giants in the energy industry such as Royal Dutch Shell and Exxon Mobil have seen their earnings decline as prices plummeted and demand waned when the global slowdown ensued at the end of 2008.

According to Bloomberg, Sinopec supplies 80% of China’s fuel needs and is China’s largest refiner of crude oil. The company is looking for new foreign partners, expand its refining capacity and reduce operational costs. The company expects demand will remain strong in China and that oil prices will continue to rise throughout the second half of the year.

Here are a few highlights from the Bloomberg article, “Sinopec to Boost Expansion Abroad After Profit Surges to Record,” which you can access in full by clicking here.

“Sinopec’s main business is refining and it needs to increase its oil reserves and reduce its reliance on other oil producers,” said Larry Grace, an independent oil analyst based in Hong Kong. “There’s a government directive to increase overseas oil and gas assets.”

…

Sinopec gets almost all its revenue from refining and the sale and distribution of fuels. Oil production accounted for just over 2 percent of sales, according to its 2008 annual report. The company imports about 80 percent of the crude it processes.

…

Su said the company will accelerate its “go global” strategy.

Parent company China Petrochemical Corp. said on Aug. 18 it had concluded the C$8.3 billion ($7.7 billion) acquisition of Addax Petroleum Corp. to secure reserves in Iraq and Africa. China Petrochemical has assets in Russia, Angola, Ecuador, Australia, Canada, Kazakhstan and Myanmar.

Sinopec’s parent completed the purchase of Tanganyika Oil Co. for about $1.8 billion in December. Vancouver-based Tanganyika holds stakes in two Syrian production-sharing agreements covering the Oudeh and Tishrine/Sheikh Mansour blocks after expanding from Tanzania in 1996.

Newswire: South-South / Emerging Market Cooperation

[China - ASEAN] - China to Boost Cooperation With Asean on Investments – Bloomberg

China wants to boost cooperation with members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations to develop trade and increase investment, said Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming.

[ASEAN] - Five Asean Nations May Form Rice-Trade Body, Thai Official Says - Bloomberg

Five Southeast Asian nations may set up a rice-trade association next year to cooperate in stabilizing rice prices, a Thai official said.

Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar will also cooperate on other issues related to food security and production, said Chiya Yimvilai, a spokesman at a meeting of Asean economic ministers in Bangkok. The countries would also work together on developing rice products, he said.

[Venezuela - Russia] – PDVSA, Russian Group to Start $30 Billion Oil Venture – Bloomberg

Petroleos de Venezuela SA and a group of Russian oil companies plan to spend $30 billion on a joint venture in Venezuela’s Orinoco region.

The 40-year venture will seek to produce crude in the Junin 6 area and may expand to other Orinoco blocks, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin told reporters in St. Petersburg today after meeting with Venezuelan Vice President Ramon Carrizalez. Russian investors will include OAO Gazprom, OAO Rosneft, OAO Lukoil, TNK-BP and OAO Surgutneftegaz. The venture will be signed “in the coming months,” Sechin said.

[Mexico - Uruguay] – Mexico/Uruguay sign strategic association accord and advance trade – MecroPress

Mexico president Felipe Calderón and Uruguay’s Tabare Vazquez signed on Friday in Montevideo a Strategic Association accord to strengthen political dialogue and bilateral trade relations in the framework of the 2004 free trade agreement.

[Mexico - Colombia - Venezuela - Ecuador] - Mexico offers to mediate between Colombia and Venezuela and Ecuador – MecroPress
Mexican president Felipe Calderón on an official visit to Colombia offered his country’s mediation in the conflict between Bogotá and neighbouring Ecuador and Venezuela.

[Peru - Brazil] - Brazilian President to visit Peru to strengthen strategic alliance – Andina
The next arrival to Lima of Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will contribute to create a new strategic alliance to face Asian markets when signing several trade agreements, the President of Peru-Brazil Integration Chamber Miguel Vega Alvear.

“The arrival of Brazilian President will strengthen the progress achieved up to now in this Peru-Brazil strategic alliance and it will create a new stage in which both countries can face Asia-Pacific markets,”

a2a_linkname=”Newswire – South South Emerging Market Cooperation”;a2a_linkurl=”http://chinasouthamerica.blogspot.com/2009/08/newswire-south-south-emerging-market.html”;

Asian smelters to benefit from Doe Run Peru shutdown

Doe Run Peru shut down its lead and zinc smelter on June 2 after the company ran out of money and credit, therefore rendering it unable to buy the raw materials being produced at near by mines.

According to this Bloomberg article, guess who’s stands poised to benefit from this? You guessed it Asia’s smelters, who despite the global slow down remain hungry for
more.

Alex Emery in Lima down in Lima writes:

Glencore International AG, the world’s biggest commodities trader, and Trafigura Beheer BV are benefiting as suppliers of Doe Run Peru’s shut lead and zinc smelter seek international traders to sell their concentrates.

“We’re looking for more clients abroad, particularly Asian smelters,” to buy the extra production, Glencore’s Peruvian manager Fernando Cafe said in a July 3 interview.

Cia. De Minas Buenaventura SA, Pan American Silver Corp. and about 30 other miners in the central Peruvian Andes have had to seek alternative buyers after the Renco Group Inc. unit smelter ran out of cash and halted all operations on June 2…

To read the complete article please visit the complete Bloomberg article.

China to buy Repsol Assets in Argentina – Update

[China - Argentina - Spain]

China’s CNPC said offering $14.5 billion for Repsol investment – Market Watch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — China National Petroleum Corp. has offered up to $14.5 billion for a majority stake in the Argentine unit of Spanish oil company Repsol YPF SA, according to media reports published on Tuesday.

The South China Morning Post, citing unnamed sources, reported that CNPC has offered between $13.2 billion and $14.5 billion for a 75% stake in the unit.

Dow Jones Newswires reported that Repsol said last week that it had received proposals from a number of companies for a stake in the unit.

China has been acquiring energy assets as its growing economy demands more resources to support its needs.

Sinopec has also secured a deal with Brazilian firm Petrobras (PEFGF) to supply it with 150,000 barrels of crude a day this year, and 200,000 barrels per day for nine years starting in 2010, according to the state-run China Daily.

Argentina and Spanish oil giant Repsol still thinking…

[China - Argentina - Spain]

Pretty good Wall Street Journal articles hit the presses in NYC today relating to the topic of Repsol selling their assets in Argentina to China

CNOOC Says Interested In Cooperation, Not Takeovers – EFE

Argentina Still Weighs on Repsol

Repsol is playing down speculation about unloading some of its 85% stake in Argentinian oil business YPF. But shareholders must hope a deal materializes, and soon. Apart from its exposure to Argentina’s political and economic risks, YPF ties up capital that Repsol could use to develop large recent Brazilian oil discoveries.

Unfortunately, what makes it wise for Repsol to sell YPF may deter potential buyers. YPF’s reserves are declining. Buenos Aires has to approve any share sale, while Repsol has committed to keep at least a 50.1% stake until 2012.

YPF also has to satisfy domestic oil demand — where prices are capped — before it can export, paying a punitive export tax. Chinese suitors, in particular, will likely bridle at such restrictions.

Click here, or the links above to view the complete articles from the WSJ

[Commodities] — Is the rally over?

Commodity Rally May Falter on Supply, Speculators

June 29 (Bloomberg) — Commodities, heading for the first quarterly advance in a year, may struggle to repeat their gains in the next three months as supply expands and speculators sell.

Nickel may average 29 percent less in the third quarter than now, crude oil 16 percent, copper 14 percent and gasoline 10 percent, analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg show. Hedge funds and speculators cut their bets on higher prices by 23 percent in the two weeks ended June 23, the first back-to-back drop since March, based on an index using U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data. The World Bank said June 22 the global recession will be deeper than it expected three months ago.

“Commodities have gotten a little ahead of themselves,” said Walter “Bucky” Hellwig, who helps oversee $30 billion at Morgan Asset Management in Birmingham, Alabama. “As long as there’s uncertainty about growth, that’s going to be headwind commodities won’t be able to overcome.”

Commodities rose 14 percent this quarter, led by nickel, oil and sugar, after three consecutive declines, according to the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 raw materials. This year’s 57 percent advance in oil costs, combined with widening budget deficits, may cause another global slump, said Nouriel Roubini, the New York University economics professor who predicted the financial crisis.

Click here to access the full article from Bloomberg

Peru ETF (EPU) launched Monday, June 22

Peru’s first exchange traded fund, MSCI All Peru Capped Index Fund (EPU), started trading yesterday, Monday June 22, 2009.

Seeking Alpha Reports:

The iShares MSCI All Peru Capped Index Fund (EPU) will allow US investors to easily access one of Latin America’s hottest markets by tracking a pure free float market cap weighted index. Its 25 names are heavily concentrated in the materials sector (65%), with a particular focus on gold, silver, and copper. Its largest holding at 19% Cia De Minas Buenaventur (BVN) who produced nearly half a million ounces of gold last year (compared to Goldcorp’s 2.4), and its second largest at 15% is Southern Copper (PCU), the biggest player in the world’s fourth largest copper producing nation.

The fund also holds an 11% weighting in Credicorp (BAP) – Peru’s largest financial firm with operations in commercial banking, insurance, and investment banking – whose shares have held up well during the crisis, and several smaller miners with operations in lead, zinc, and iron.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Now then… it is time for a few “million dollar questions.

a) Does this ETF facilitate investment in Peruvian equities for international investors?
Yes, as one of the world’s best performing benchmarks of the year, loaded with companies seeing gains of well over 60-70% from the beginning of 2009, it will indeed offer investors a way to tap into these companies not listed via ADR’s or OTC.

b) Does this ETF accurately track a Peruvian benchmark , like the Lima General Index?
Time will tell. ETF’s always claim that they do, but I won’t fully believe it until I see hard data supporting such. This ETF does not track Peru’s Lima General Index, but rather MSCI All Peru Capped Index. Click here to access a PDF that explains the methodology behind MSCI All Peru Capped Index.

c) Is now the right time to invest?

Here are some factors to consider when doing your own due diligence:

• Markets around the world are down and it seems the downward trends in recent markets might continue throughout the summer months.

• Copper, gold and silver have already had pretty amazing run ups in recent months and are Peru’s crown jewels of commodity exports (yes there are others like zinc, but lets emphasize these major Peruvian money makers for the time being).

• Volatility due to the political risk associated with the upcoming Peruvian elections in 2011 which pit two extreme candidates of the left and right against one another. Ollanta Humala, the left-wing buddy of Chavez and Keiko Fujimori, right wing, daughter of former president & dictator Alberto Fujimori.

• Recent political unrest in the Amazon region which only calmed down after heated disputes between the government and indigenous protesters lead the deaths of many Peruvian police officers and the massacre of protesters, forced to rely on wooden spears to defend themselves against high powered weapons. *** Note, this is the opinion of this sites humble and open minded Peruvian-American blogger, who can trace his ancestry on his maternal grandfathers side back to the amazon provinces of San Martin and Amazonas, Peru.

• Perceived instability (political and financial) as a result of plummiting approval ratings of President Alan Garcia, who was instrumental is creating the climate for the recent protests in the Amazon–contrary to the popular belief of those who believe his propaganda. Garcia’s administration loves to blame Hugo Chavez and Evo Morales for everything wrong with Peru and as crazy as it might be, it is a great deal like Ahmadinejad in Iran who blames the West whenever something goes wrong.

I have used this statement from Iran’s state television station about the protests occurring right now to articulate my point.

“At least 10 people were killed in the latest unrest to shake Tehran (Bagua), state television said on Sunday as Iranian leaders (President Garcia’s administration) took aim at Western “meddling” (Hugo Chavez and Evo Morales “meddling”) in the post-election tumult (Peruvian Amazon Region) that has triggered the worst crisis since the Islamic revolution (the worst political unrest in his Presidential Term).

Invest wisely my friends! More to come on this topic at the end of the week.

Analysis by Benito

Peru — Police clash with the indigenous community

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XGS-GspCmfw&hl=en&fs=1&color1=0x2b405b&color2=0x6b8ab6&border=1]

AlJazeera English

Dozens of people have been killed in clashes between indigenous people and police in Peru.

The Indians have been protesting against laws which will open up communal jungle lands and water resources to oil drilling, logging and mining.

Al Jazeera’s Teresa Bo reports from Bagua Grande in Peru.

Newswire: South-South Cooperation

[Russia - Brazil] — Russia, Brazil to Buy $20 Billion IMF Bonds, Diversify Reserves

Russia and Brazil, seeking to reduce their dependence on the dollar, announced plans to buy $20 billion of bonds from the International Monetary Fund and diversify foreign-currency reserves.

[Brazil - Russia - IMF] – Brazil (and possibly Russia)to Buy $10 Billion of IMF Bonds, Mantega Says

Brazil will buy $10 billion of bonds issued by the International Monetary Fund to help the Washington-based lender provide financing to countries hurt by the financial crisis, Finance Minister Guido Mantega said.

“This is an investment that Brazil is doing with part of its reserves and making available financing so that the IMF may help emerging countries, especially developing countries which today face a shortage of capital because of the global financial crisis,” Mantega said.

Russia’s central bank said today it may cut investments in U.S. Treasuries, currently valued at as much as $140 billion, a week after China said it may reduce reliance on the dollar and U.S. bonds. Treasuries fell after Alexei Ulyukayev, first deputy chairman of Bank Rossii, said some reserves may be moved into IMF debt.

[China - Afghanistan] – Afghanistan to boost economic, security ties with China: Afghan FM

“Since the beginning of the new era in Afghanistan in late 2001,China has been among our most committed and generous friends,” Spanta, who is here for an official visit, told a seminar on Afghanistan’s role in the region.

China has been instrumental in regional consensus and international solidarity with Afghanistan, he said, noting China is also the largest investor in the war-hit country.

[China - Cameroon] — China vows to enhance friendly military co-op with Cameroon

The Chinese armed forces are willing to advance friendly cooperation with Cameroon, Chinese Defense Minister Liang Guanglie said here Wednesday.

The Chinese armed forces attach importance to its relations with Cameroon, said Liang, adding China is ready to work together with Cameroon to raise bilateral military ties of friendly cooperation to a higher level.

The only fundamentals improving are commodities

Jim Rogers makes an real life appearance on CNBC and talks to the masses of finance news junkies in the United States.

CNBC’s website is bombarding readers with articles about this Jimmy Rogers interview. If you follow this site, or if you happen to keep your eyes and ears open for Jimmy Rogers in your daily information news sessions, you know he really is not saying anything he hasn’t said before.

Basic conclusion – when the reality of printing so much cash catches up with the major economies of the world, people are going to realize their stock gains are in worthless, debased currencies. When this happens, hard assets and the companies producing them will flourish. Demand for copper and steel are not going to disappear, but is just may greatly diminish for U.S. Bonds and Dollar assets if hyper inflation hits.

Get the picture?